Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 153.222017 180.949467 214.904253 260.464179 321.499102 402.818657 523.837064
2024-12-15 117.367947 149.509244 193.831090 262.571417 373.256772 559.541083 941.192547
2024-12-22 95.425023 126.696327 172.811569 250.886336 392.816765 676.731792 1446.798085
2024-12-29 86.179387 118.814464 170.046299 264.562866 459.719792 937.065883 2857.833985
2025-01-05 75.363389 106.234942 156.552034 254.499125 474.546102 1097.790223 4673.829355
2025-01-12 68.916755 99.334969 150.843506 256.922521 518.476652 1402.462303 10179.642471
2025-01-19 62.730633 91.890785 142.674334 251.810433 541.458336 1682.309155 23630.268047
2025-01-26 61.127873 91.844990 147.787257 276.737074 665.711351 2736.520243 999707.092662
2025-02-02 61.067600 94.401748 158.291809 318.399326 888.269779 5801.443998 NaN
2025-02-09 57.071057 89.284340 152.385422 316.454111 947.834294 8155.678560 NaN
2025-02-16 54.179632 85.881761 149.500364 321.978849 1050.268383 13469.197734 NaN
2025-02-23 51.485302 82.550356 146.229212 325.486453 1151.771740 23918.561758 NaN
2025-03-02 48.388429 78.520784 141.690631 326.888731 1270.113577 56369.570974 NaN
2025-03-09 45.606894 74.883198 137.639049 329.357940 1416.092906 248578.587370 NaN
2025-03-16 42.170595 69.577041 128.868334 313.169900 1408.134493 745864.892596 NaN
2025-03-23 40.893640 68.501481 129.991723 332.113650 1741.839271 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 38.225471 64.293328 122.812495 318.158731 1746.019628 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 36.585036 62.083367 120.320842 321.511459 1961.091148 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 34.677589 59.143747 115.576714 314.444704 2045.822317 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 34.487068 59.841657 120.346875 349.106361 2920.186632 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 34.876498 61.841156 129.042376 408.157133 5126.018504 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 33.413504 59.555124 125.394328 405.369691 5730.875286 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 32.340314 58.068455 123.847392 413.294139 7043.274102 NaN NaN